A scrollytelling data story about how accurate human predictions are.
Live demo · Built with D3.js, d3-sankey, vanilla JavaScript
Explores overconfidence, anchoring bias and how often experts get forecasts wrong, using data from global forecasting platforms. The narrative is scroll-driven: the story advances as you scroll and includes a Sankey diagram.
Static single-page project, no build step:
git clone https://github.com/ffmc/predictions.git
cd predictions
python3 -m http.server 8000 # then open http://localhost:8000